Grading Content & Exposing Bias

Midterms 2026 · Interactive map

Election map

Defaults to Party & outlook on state control — who holds power now, who is favored in 2026, and where flip risk is highest. Switch to Senate, governor, or House layers, or flip to Coverage for CladFacts graded-report heat. Tap a state to dig in (sign in free for coverage grades & lean).

  • 33Class II Senate states
  • 36Governor races 2026
  • 5Flip-risk (state control)
  • 9States with graded reports

How to use Colors show the 2026 outlook for the selected layer. Striped states = flip risk. Tap a state for who holds power now, the outlook band, and CladFacts race cards — then lock picks on the ballot board.

Map is public. Coverage grades & lean on race cards unlock free with any account. See grades free

Tap a state for control, outlook & races

United States midterms 2026 map Interactive map of U.S. states colored by party control and 2026 outlook, with flip-risk states highlighted.

Party map is an editorial snapshot (as of 2026-10-13) — solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for glanceability. It is not a CladFacts grade, poll average, or prediction market.

Election desk

Updates under the map

Recent CladFacts reports on midterm candidates, race coverage, and election process — plus board races with the most heat or the soonest vote. Tap a headline to expand. Grades unlock free with an account.

Latest headlines

  • Ossoff demands Collins release records on aide's white nationalist ties •

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    MSNBC host Lawrence interviewed Sen. Jon Ossoff about his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race. The segment focused on leaked group-chat messages first reported by Slate in which Collins' then-deputy chief of staff Kip Talley discussed using congressional resources to assist imprisoned Holocaust denier and internet troll Charles Johnson, while briefing white nationalists including Nick Fuentes and Richard Spencer. Ossoff demanded Collins release full records. The broadcast then criticized Collins' Senate Leadership Fund-backed AI-generated ads mocking Ossoff's campaign spending on makeup and hair services, calling them fraudulent and evidence Republicans have 'nothing' to run on. It closed with attacks on Trump's UN General Assembly speech threatening to 'annihilate' Iran, framing it as a war crime, and cited polling claiming majority opposition to the war and Trump's handling.

    Read full report → MS NOW ↗

  • Ossoff delivers unity-themed excerpt at Atlanta rally amid 2026 Senate bid •

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    The YouTube clip from the channel jonossoffgafanclips features a short excerpt of Sen. Jon Ossoff speaking at a campaign rally in Atlanta on August 16, 2026. Ossoff argues that shared emotional pain over national struggles unites Americans as 'one united people' rather than just one nation, invoking E Pluribus Unum (mispronounced as 'Plurbusum' in the clip) and crediting a common national spirit for passing civil rights laws, defeating fascism, and landing men on the moon. He concludes that the U.S. remains 'destined for greatness.' The full rally, attended by about 1,600 supporters at Center Stage Theater, focused on turning out voters eight weeks before early voting to 'save the republic' while criticizing Trump administration policies and his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins.

    Read full report → jonossoffgafanclips ↗

  • Guilfoyle donor alleges $100k Amex request; panel debates Trump Iran war fallout •

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    The broadcast opened with reaction to a mayor's comments before shifting to political analysis of Trump's campaign trail remarks, their potential damage to GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms, and specific races like Annie Andrews vs. Darline Graham in South Carolina. It then covered national security developments including the abrupt U.S. withdrawal of B-1 bombers from RAF Fairford due to an alleged Iranian threat, operational impacts on strikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, a suspected plague death at a Russian lab, and an interview with retiring Sen. Thom Tillis promoting his critical book on Trump advisors. The discussion featured MSNOW analysts Katherine Rampell and Burgess Everett, national security reporter David Rhoad, former CIA Director John Brennan, and Sen. Tillis, relying on recent news reports, polls, and guest accounts with graphics on polling and costs.

    Read full report → MS NOW ↗

  • Michigan GOP guests frame Senate, governor races as referendum on Democrats •

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    The segment opened with brief news items: FBI Director Kash Patel announcing the arrest of a Shiny Hunters leader linked to hacks including the FBI jobs site; President Trump planning a visit to a Peterbilt truck factory in Denton, Texas, to promote his economic agenda citing $11.2 trillion in foreign investments and 95,000 new construction jobs; and the Senate passing the Protect College Sports Act 77-22 late the previous night, with House prospects uncertain. It then turned to Michigan politics, discussing the open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race. Guests Sean (Michigan resident) and Ian Murphy (small business owner and Iron Pigs Smokehouse advocate) argued voters should research candidates' focus on family and faith rather than party, framed the races as a referendum on Democratic control, criticized education and economic outcomes under Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, opposed Abdul El-Sayed due to his public health role in 2020, and warned of leftist influence on youth regarding gender issues. They noted potential historic firsts if Jon James or El-Sayed wins.

    Read full report → Fox Business ↗

  • Mike Rogers blasts El-Sayed as anti-American in Ben Shapiro interview •

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    Ben Shapiro interviews Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers about his tight race against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers argues El-Sayed is the most anti-American candidate in the country, citing his appearances with streamer Hasan Piker, past social media comments on 9/11, a planned speech at an ISNA conference days before the 9/11 anniversary, opposition to symbols like the Fourth of July, and support for Medicare for All. Shapiro and Rogers highlight Democratic reluctance to disavow El-Sayed except for Sen. John Fetterman and note crossover support from Jewish Democrats, Black voters, and figures like Van Jones. The segment ends with Rogers responding to Tucker Carlson's recent praise of El-Sayed as 'America First' and a call for donations to RogersForSenate.com.

    Read full report → Ben Shapiro ↗

  • Harris Campaigns for El-Sayed in Michigan Senate Race, Citing Six-Year Impact •

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    The Forbes Breaking News clip shows former Vice President Kamala Harris speaking at a September 2026 event in Michigan, likely a roundtable on Black maternal health, endorsing Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Harris highlights the six-year term's long-term impact on constituents, recalls sitting next to then-Sen. Gary Peters in the Senate, and describes the Michigan senator's role as carrying a significant state and national voice. She thanks community organizers for their ongoing work and urges the audience to elect El-Sayed. The segment is drawn from a partisan campaign appearance with no opposing voices, named sources limited to Harris herself, and no graphics or independent data presented. It serves as a unity push weeks before the November 3 general election against Republican Mike Rogers in a race rated as a toss-up that could influence Senate control.

    Read full report → Forbes Breaking News ↗

  • Tim Miller Highlights Pardoned Jan. 6 Rioters' Subsequent Crimes, Georgia GOP Senate Candidate •

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    The Bulwark video compiles Tim Miller's commentary on Republican midterm candidates and a dedicated segment on recidivism among Trump-pardoned January 6 defendants. Miller details six recent cases of rearrests or sentencings for child sex crimes, burglary, threats, and gun offenses, arguing this undermines Republican 'law and order' claims and shows pardons incentivize bad behavior ahead of midterms and 2028. He then launches a series on 'crazy stupid Republicans' for statewide office, starting with Georgia Senate nominee Rep. Mike Collins, citing his conspiracy theories, January 6 support, and ties to white nationalists via campaign associates, family, and former staff. The latter part shifts to Miller responding to criticism of anti-despair messaging aimed at Gen Z, invoking James Baldwin.

    Read full report → The Bulwark ↗

  • Maine Democrats Demand Answers on Collins-Navatek Contracts After ProPublica Report •

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    The C-SPAN clip captures a Maine Democratic news conference or event, likely in Portland, responding to a ProPublica investigation published the prior day. Speakers, including references to mayors and the Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson, demand full transparency and accountability from Sen. Susan Collins regarding her role as Appropriations Committee chair and alleged ties to defense contractor Navatek (now Martin Defense Group). They claim she steered millions in federal contracts in exchange for campaign contributions funneled through a super PAC and shell company, and that President Trump helped shut down an FBI probe. The event frames this as part of a pattern of betrayal by Collins, urging voters to replace her in November. Sourcing is entirely from Democratic officials and the ProPublica report; no Collins response or independent experts are included. The throughline is that public office is a public trust and Maine taxpayers deserve to know if spending decisions were influenced by donors.

    Read full report → C-SPAN ↗

  • Darline Graham Wins SC GOP Senate Runoff, Attacks Opponent Andrews as Radical •

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    In her victory speech after winning the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina's special runoff, Darline Graham accepted the nomination to replace her late brother Lindsey Graham, who died suddenly in July 2026 from an aortic dissection. She thanked President Trump for his endorsement and campaign help, GOP officials, her campaign team, volunteers, family, and voters, while paying tribute to her brother's legacy and offering conciliatory words to primary opponent Rep. Ralph Norman. Graham contrasted her humble upbringing and public service record with her general-election opponent Dr. Annie Andrews, labeling her the "most radical liberal" in state Democratic history for supporting gender-affirming care for transgender youth, gun control measures, expanded government healthcare, and abortion rights. She urged donations at darling.com and framed the race as a defense of conservative South Carolina values against outside liberal funding. The C-SPAN broadcast showed the full unfiltered speech with crowd reactions. Sourcing relied on Graham's personal narrative and campaign attacks; no independent fact-checks or opponent responses were included. Key throughline was continuity with Lindsey Graham's service and Trump's influence in securing the win.

    Read full report → C-SPAN ↗

  • Pappas and Whitehouse host NH roundtable pushing DISCLOSE Act and dark money disclosure •

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    The roundtable featured Rep. Chris Pappas, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, End Citizens United president Tiffany Muller, and New Hampshire state legislators Alexis Simpson and Connie Lane. They discussed passing the DISCLOSE Act to require donor disclosure for super PACs and dark money groups, criticized Citizens United for enabling billions in outside spending, and linked dark money to fossil fuel influence blocking climate policy and other priorities. Participants highlighted New Hampshire's weak state campaign finance rules including LLC loopholes and outside spending in legislative races. Pappas addressed questions on his AIPAC-related support and a recent poll showing his Senate opponent John Sununu ahead for the first time.

    Read full report → electron media group, inc. ↗

Politician cards

Board watch

Soonest votes and hottest coverage on the CladFacts ballot board (not poll standings). Portraits load when we have a Wikimedia match.

Open ballot board → · Community votes

Flip-risk snapshot

5 states marked flip risk on the state-control outlook (favored party differs from who holds power, or toss-up). Snapshot as of 2026-10-13 — editorial bands, not CladFacts grades.

Jump to a state

Can’t tap the map? Pick a state here — same detail panel opens.

Guide How to read these maps
  • Party & outlook (default) — who holds the seat/control now, Cook-style solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for 2026, and flip-risk striping when the favored party differs from the holder. Editorial snapshot as of 2026-10-13.
  • State control (default layer) — simplified lean of governor + legislature for the whole state. Switch to Senate, governor, or House for office-specific outlooks.
  • Coverage map — ballot structure + CladFacts graded-report heat. Not a forecast of who wins.
  • Class II Senate = one-third of the chamber up in 2026 (Art. I §3). Candidate map verified 2026-10-14 (live auditor overlay).
  • House = all 435 seats every midterm; colors are statewide lean only, not districts.
  • Your picks — after exploring, lock winners on the ballot board (account required). Community tallies stay anonymous.

Dig deeper: ballot board · community votes · politician cards · first-time voter guide. Map paths: Wikimedia Commons blank US map (public domain).